Kaufmann and Steinbruner take a close look at the most recent spending plan from the Pentagon, contending that the potential for greater cost reduction is possible. They offer alternatives for force reduction and future budgeting. After much debate in 1990, Congress and the administration agreed to reduce real spending for national defense by nearly 20% by fiscal 1996. To achieve these savings, the Defense Department proposes to cut US forces by approximately 25%, end procurement of most current-generation weapons, and prepare for the introduction of new capabilities after 1996. According to the authors, there is a huge probability that, as a consequence, real defense spending will then begin to rise. Kaufmann and Steinbruner question the merits of the assumptions on which this policy is based. They argue not only that the Pentagon has overstated the potential military threats of the future, but also that defense can reduce its forces and investments below what its spokesmen have described as "an irreducible minimum". To support their case, the authors indicate specifically the forces and budgets they consider appropriate for the next 10 years.

Assessing the Base Force

by William W. Kaufmann

Published 1 November 1992
The Defence Department unveiled its base force in 1990. According to former Secretary of Defence Richard Cheney, the proposed capabilities reflected the end of the cold war and the changed circumstances in Eastern Europe and Russia. Yet the real costs of the base force by 1997 will be only 27 percent lower than they were in 1990, whereas the containment of the Soviet Union accounted for more than 50 percent of the defence budget during the cold war. In this book, William Kaufmann raises two issues: the merits of the case for the base force and the extent to which further cuts in US capabilities and costs can prudently be made. He concludes that the base force remains a scaled-down relic of the cold war, that it can be reduced substantially in size without serious risk, and that cumulative real savings of approximately $200 billion can be made during the next five years.