The Next Christendom

by Philip Jenkins

Published 31 March 2002
In looking back over the enormous changes wrought by the 20th century, Western observers may have missed the most dramatic revolution of all. While secular movements like communism, feminism, and environmentalism have gotten the lion's share of our attention, the explosive southward expansion of Christianity in Africa, Asia, and Latin America has barely registered on Western consciousness. Nor has the globalization of Christianity--and the enormous religious, political, and social consequences it portends--been properly understood. Philip Jenkins' The Next Christendom: The Coming of Global Christianity is the first book to take the full measure of the changing face of the Christian faith. Jenkins asserts that by the year 2050 only one Christian in five will be a non-Latino white person and that the center of gravity of the Christian world will have shifted firmly to the Southern hemisphere. Within a few decades Kinshasa, Buenos Aires, Addis Ababa, and Manila will replace Rome, Athens, Paris, London, and New York as the new focal points in the Church's universality. In Africa alone, the number of Christians increased from ten million in 1900 to 360 million in 2000.
Moreover, Jenkins shows that the churches that have grown most rapidly in the global south are far more traditional, morally conservative, evangelical, and apocalyptic than their northern counterparts. Mysticism, puritanism, belief in prophecy, faith-healing, exorcism, and dream-visions--concepts which more liberal western churches have traded in for progressive political and social concerns--are basic to the newer churches in the south. And the effects of such beliefs on global politics, Jenkins argues, will be enormous, as religious identification begins to take precedence over allegiance to secular nation-states. Indeed, as Christianity grows in regions where Islam is also expected to increase--as recent conflicts in Indonesia, Nigeria, and the Philippines reveal--we may see a return to the religious wars of the past, fought out with renewed intensity and high-tech weapons far surpassing the swords and spears of the middle ages. Western commentators have recently declared that Christianity is declining, or that it must modernize its beliefs or risk being abandoned altogether.
Philip Jenkins, in writing what is vivid, incisive, and impeccably researched, contends that just the opposite is true: Christianity is on the rise again and in more traditional forms than have been seen in many years. To understand what that rise may mean requires a new awareness of what is happening in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The Next Christendom, a book that will be essential reading for anyone interested in Christianity and in the changing world of the 21st century, takes the first large step towards that new awareness.