Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk: A Machine Learning Approach (SpringerBriefs in Computer Science)

by Richard Berk

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Machine learning and nonparametric function estimation procedures can be effectively used in forecasting. One important and current application is used to make forecasts of "future dangerousness" to inform criminal justice decision. Examples include the decision to release an individual on parole, determination of the parole conditions, bail recommendations, and sentencing. Since the 1920s, "risk assessments" of various kinds have been used in parole hearings, but the current availability of large administrative data bases, inexpensive computing power, and developments in statistics and computer science have increased their accuracy and applicability.

In this book, these developments are considered with particular emphasis on the statistical and computer science tools, under the rubric of supervised learning, that can dramatically improve these kinds of forecasts in criminal justice settings. The intended audience is researchers in the social sciences and data analysts in criminal justice agencies.
  • ISBN13 9781461430841
  • Publish Date 10 April 2012 (first published 1 January 2012)
  • Publish Status Active
  • Publish Country US
  • Imprint Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
  • Edition 2012 ed.
  • Format Paperback
  • Pages 115
  • Language English