Forecasting Product Liability Claims: Epidemiology and Modeling in the Manville Asbestos Case (Statistics for Biology and Health)

by Eric Stallard, Kenneth G. Manton, and Joel E. Cohen

J.B. Weinstein (Foreword)

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This selection of papers encompasses recent methodological advances in several important areas, such as multivariate failure time data and interval censored data, as well as innovative applications of the existing theory and methods. Using a rigorous account of statistical forecasting efforts that led to the successful resolution of the John-Manville asbestos litigation, the models in this volume can be adapted to forecast industry-wide asbestos liability. More generally, because the models are not overly dependent on the U.S. legal system and the role of asbestos, this volume will be of interest in other product liability cases, as well as similar forecasting situations for a range of insurable or compensational events. Throughout the text, the emphasis is on the iterative nature of model building and the uncertainty generated by lack of complete knowledge of the injury process. This uncertainty is balanced against the court's need for a definitive settlement, and how these opposing principles can be reconciled. A valuable reference for researchers and practitioners in the field of survival analysis.
  • ISBN13 9780387949871
  • Publish Date 25 October 2004
  • Publish Status Active
  • Publish Country US
  • Imprint Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
  • Edition 2004 ed.
  • Format Hardcover
  • Pages 394
  • Language English