Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change

by Board on Life Sciences and National Research Council

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Book cover for Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment

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The mission of Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change, the book published in December 2008, is to independently and scientifically review the methodology that led to the 2006 Department of Homeland Security report, Bioterrorism Risk Assessment (BTRA) and provide a foundation for future updates. This book identifies a number of fundamental concerns with the BTRA of 2006, ranging from mathematical and statistical mistakes that have corrupted results, to unnecessarily complicated probability models and models with fidelity far exceeding existing data, to more basic questions about how terrorist behavior should be modeled. Rather than merely criticizing what was done in the BTRA of 2006, this new NRC book consults outside experts and collects a number of proposed alternatives that could improve DHS's ability to assess potential terrorist behavior as a key element of risk-informed decision making, and it explains these alternatives in the specific context of the BTRA and the bioterrorism threat.
  • ISBN10 0309120284
  • ISBN13 9780309120289
  • Publish Date 3 January 2009 (first published 1 January 2008)
  • Publish Status Active
  • Publish Country US
  • Imprint National Academies Press
  • Format Paperback
  • Pages 172
  • Language English