The Chinese ideograph for "crisis" is a combination of the characters for "danger" and "opportunity". In this textbook assessment of international crisis behaviour, Eric Herring explains how both are crucial to understanding crisis outcomes. Herring links two analytical perspectives: the view in which the opponent is an aggressor seeking to exploit opportunities; and the view that decision-makers are driven by danger. He examines outcomes in a variety of case studies: classic US-Soviet examples such as the Cuban missile crisis in 1962; clashes between other states, such as the Falklands in 1982; and the major post-Cold War crisis of the Gulf in 1991. Herring argues that nuclear superiority has little effect whereas conventional military superiority - especially locally - can be important in deciding crisis outcomes. However, decision-makers who think they have military superiority tend to misperceive opponents who stand up to them as irrational. Having more at stake than the opponent is a crucial advantage as long as both sides do not want war. Strategic culture affects outcomes indirectly by shaping perceptions of interests, options and opponents.
- ISBN10 0719042933
- ISBN13 9780719042935
- Publish Date 19 October 1995
- Publish Status Out of Print
- Out of Print 23 October 2000
- Publish Country GB
- Imprint Manchester University Press
- Format Paperback (UK Trade)
- Pages 329
- Language English